Archive for May, 2010

  • The Cave and The River

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    I have become a fan of Tom Brakke’s blog which I found through Abnormal Returns .

    In his latest post entitled ‘The Cave and the Flow’, Tom writes about building an investment organization. To build it successfully, you have to navigate the information flow in a productive manner.

    These days, it is not hard to be pulled into the flow of information. Digital devices bring it to wherever we may be, at all hours of the day or night. The flow is a raging river that sweeps us along.

    The question is whether or when or how often to seek higher ground and retreat to a cave of our own.

    As someone whose mission is to create original ideas, I know that I will do my best work when I spend a lot of time in the cave. But I must also heed the lessons of the river, so I need to gaze down upon it to gauge its features, to approach it close enough to hear the roars of the raging waters, to reach down into it for a handful of water to taste, and sometimes to take a dip in an eddy of information. And yes, occasionally I need to swim out into the main current, hoping that it doesn’t sweep me into raging rapids of confusion or over a waterfall of wasted time.

    It is easy for companies to get swept up into the river of noise, but if you are lucky, you will have someone or a group of people that are removed from the river and as Tom calls it, ‘do cave time’.

    And the question must always be asked: “Who is spending time in the cave?”

    It is not banishment to be assigned to the cave, but freedom. The freedom to be apart, to take the time to examine ideas in detail and follow them wherever they lead, to explore the nooks and crannies of the possibilities. There, it is easier to sort the facts from the opinions, the reality from the sheen, and the essence from the superfluous.

    In the investment world, I love the river (Stocktwits Stream) because I can see all the ideas flow by and grab the ideas I want and find the people that I want and than follow them in the context that they do their best work – their caves.

    That is how I found GregorMacdonald (Macro) and Steven Place (option strategy) and Joe Fahmy (Trend Trading), Todd Sullivan (Value). Finding people out of the river and following back to their cave where they will share their connections.

    Don’t dismiss the river or the cave. They both serve their purpose and can be used every day to discover and manage your investments or business.

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  • ‘Open Sesame’

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    ‘Open Sesame’ was a magical term when I was a kid. I passed it on to my kids.

    It would be wonderful in today’s world of computers if you could control your information online with a few magical worlds.

    Not possible.

    When I get on the family computer late at night, I am logged into everything. Facebook, Club Penguin, Twitter. Logging out is not in the family vocabulary.

    It used to be you told kids ‘don’t talk to strangers’.

    Try explaining any social sites ‘terms of use’ to a 12 or 13 year old.

    This week, Facebook finds itself in it’s quarterly shitstorm. It will pass. British Petroleum just ‘oiled down’ half the east coast…even that will pass.

    There is good reason for most users to be pissed at Facebook. My favorite rant comes from Dana Boyd . Facebook is pretty evil. I don’t know what people expected, but obviously many thought Facebook would remain Disney Land of data and leave the evil to Equifax and Transunion because you have to give them the information (we do).

    Fred Wilson says the ‘middle ground’ is treachorous with respect to privacy .

    Me, I have seen pretty much everything on the web, especially since I talk about stocks and money. Nothing surprises me.

    Right now, Facebook can cost me a job. Luckily, I have never had to rely on a social network for work. If I did, I think my time in would help me. When Facebook can start kicking me out of my home, even country, I will worry.

    Talking to my friend Om Malik for a while this week and he knows quite well the march Facebook is making. They are NOT going to stop. They are the machine. Facebook’s new internal slogan is ‘Washington…we ‘like’ you!

    Credit is where Facebook is going and that will be a whole new level of power. For 99 percent of you with bad credit, look at that as an opportunity and start being nice to your Facebook friends.

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  • A TweetDeck For Every Occasion

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    If you’ve been following the news you’ll have noticed that TweetDeck is broadening into the mobile world. Maybe you’re already rocking out with TweetDeck on the iPad or DMing your mates on TweetDeck iPhone. If you’re REALLY in the loop you’ll know that we’re also working on a mega-project to bring the next generation TweetDeck to Android (more on that soon). 

    Really though, that’s not enough. There are hundreds of millions of you out there happy with your BlackBerry, Palm, Windows Mobile or handmade, jewel encrusted Linux smartphone. You need TweetDeck on your mobile and you need it now. We hear you.

    Several months ago we embarked on a secret mission to develop a cross-platform full-featured mobile TweetDeck. We looked at a lot of options and after much deliberation decided the best way forward was to build an amazing version of TweetDeck to run on mobile web browsers. 

    The trends are clear. Mobile web browsers are becoming more powerful and standards compliant. HTML5 is looming on the horizon, tempting us with all sorts of web-based goodness. Mobile internet access is getting better, faster, cheaper. But that’s just the beginning. 

    Battery life is a big issue on all mobile devices but especially older platforms. Using TweetDeck Mobile Web means you can check out what’s going on when you want to and not have an app using valuable resources constantly in the background. Not only will this be easier on the battery but your phone will perform better in general.

    Accessibility is another big issue. Using TweetDeck will be as easy as going to our url in a browser. Now you can check out the latest hashtags on your friend’s phone without enraging them by installing software that runs forever in the background. We’ve designed TweetDeck Mobile Web to work on really slimmed down devices, so pretty much anything with a web browser will do.

    Finally, by focusing our efforts on a single web based product we can provide the attention and resources to really make the experience shine. Web-based development is efficient and lean so you can expect new functionality to come fast and furious. 

    And rather than settling for a lowest common denominator approach, we plan to create style sheets and Javascript dedicated to each platform. This will provide an experience enhanced for each mobile browser. We’ve started by optimizing for BlackBerry devices but would love to hear from you about which platforms we should be polishing next.

    If this sounds interesting and you want to chime in on the future of TweetDeck, we’d love to hear from you. Testing is about to begin and if you head over to http://support.tweetdeck.com/entries/174214 and sign up we’ll add you to the testing list. We’re excited to roll this out with your support.

     

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  • Overheard on StockTwits: China and Corn $ZC_F, $WFT “All In”, $NFLX Euphoria, The Robot

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    The $EURUSD continues to get killed and $NFLX is running like a biotech on buyout rumors, but overall it’s a pretty quiet day in the markets. Here’s today’s morning buzz:

    Interesting little tidbit that China is going to start importing corn $ZC_F.  Could be the start of a nice bullish trend for Ags, $DBA.

    Now that the long US/short the rest of the world trade is hitting the front pages perhaps its time to look at the inverse:

    Crude Oil $CL_F continues to get slaughtered.  @aiki14 is looking to get long here, however.  The action in Crude and Copper isn’t too bullish:

    Looks like the neutral on the sidelines took a move towards bearish this week.

    $NFLX hit new highs today on more buyout rumors.  @agwarner notes the volatility is also quite high:

    @Contrahour notices that some top $WFT execs went “all in” on their stock.  Stock has been beaten down as a driller and he likes it here. Here’s the SEC Doc

    @danconway believes we may be in the early stages in the Robotics trend with $IRBT and $ISRG with a whole log of room to go,

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  • “The Ticketing Alternative You’ve Been Waiting For”

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    Wired was among the publications that covered our announcement of Series A funding yesterday, and our growth & achievements over the past year, on their website wired.com.

    From the article, a quote from our client Seth Hurwitz:

    Ticketfly is a great option for anyone who doesn’t want their competitor selling their tickets,” said 9:30 Club’s Seth Hurwitz, a client of the company, in a statement. “These guys were the first to sell tickets online and not surprisingly they have a ton of great new ideas and positive energy. It’s precisely guys like these that this industry needs.”

    Thanks, Seth!

    Read the full article here.

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  • The S&P is Making Angel Investing Look Safe

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    Other than war, I thought I had seen it all.

    Nope.

    Today we have Jesus and Bernie Madoff tweeting. Of course you will tell me Jesus has been dead for like a bazillion years so how can he be tweeting. I say, pretty good argument but than how come it’s a verified account?

    But…I digress.

    Over the last week, the S&P 500 (not the S&P 5) has moved TWENTY percent. It has done so only to end up in the same place.

    WTF?

    It’s simple…none of us know what the hell we are doing and/or the markets are broken.

    Today we have SAP buying Sybase ($SY) for $65/share. SAP has no idea what they are doing. If they did, they would have bought Sybase for less than half that price in 2008.

    People call trend investing lunacy when that’s how 99 percent of the capital market operates.

    I trend invest in the stock market because everyone else does it. It’s also very liquid. I pay higher prices because price rarely lies in the public markets. WHEN it lies, few have the courage (including me) or the deep pockets to truly profit. Those that do, deserve the profits. They take more risk than me.

    The markets of the last week make a trend investor dizzy because prices just break.

    The last week was an outlier event that prove no strategy works all the time and investing is hard.

    It also reminds me why I angel invest…it’s safer :)

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  • Overheard on StockTwits: Market Voodoo? More $SLV and $GLD, Golden Age of Bond Managers Over

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    After gapping down pretty big this morning, the market is coming back.  Here’s this morning’s StockTwits buzz:

    Mr. Flexible aka @thinkingtrades makes some excellent points on the recent action.  His second point regarding a market comeback today being dangerous is especially interesting because thats what we have done:

    There are some big problems starting to show up in China, such as inflation.  Starting to see articles like this saying that China is entering a bear market.

    $SLV and $GLD keep rocking.  Was a big StockTwits Idea of the Week.  Might want to be a little cautious here as things might be starting to get extended.

    It’s not going to be as easy to be a bond manager over the next 25 years as it was the past 25 years:

    $DF has been slaughtered the last few days.  @hedgefundinvest lays out the case for a potential buy on the dip:

    Many forex traders are watching the UK Election Deadlock carefully for direction on the $GBPUSD – which has started to rally this morning.

    Lawsuits against banks appears to be a trend in the financials, in this case $BK.  You may want to tread carefully with these names.

    People are still looking for the bottom in Natty $NG_F

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  • Overheard on StockTwits: Ideas for this Week $SLV and $GLD, Fade The Rally?

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    Last week we asked the community what their ideas were for the week.  We got some FANTASTIC ideas many of which were quite profitable, so we decided we’d make this a regular.  Here’s this week’s ideas:

    With the market ripping this morning, @harmongreg likes a short of $EL due to this chart:

    @CVardhana likes $JRCC.  This was a great idea from the StockTwits Idea Engine a few weeks ago.

    @optionbob like $GLD.  After remaining strong it’s selling off a bit on the Greece Bailout news, so this could be a nice bailout fade play.

    @anthonybrown thinks it could be time to look into $XOM $CALL’s.

    @grazen says to “become an insurance company” and has a diagonal spread idea using $SPY $PUT’s.

    @wallstreetbean is bullish (note this tweet was before the Greek bailout news so we’ll cut him some slack)

    Both @chessnwine and @TrendRida love Silver using. $SLV and $SLW.  Here’s @chessnwine’s chart and here’s an article detailing the manipulation case.

    @blackmarkt likes $PRGS as a possible breakout.  With the pop we’re getting this morning, it may have already broke out. Here’s his chart.

    Arrr.  The @PirateTrader is looking to fade any rally attempt by going long $TZA on any pullback (note this tweet was before the bailout announcement).

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  • StockTwits Ticker Pages – Now With YCharts

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    We are happy to announce a new addition to our ticker pages – YCharts.   If you are not familiar with yCharts, you should definitely check them out.  They have created a really nice and simple way to visualize and compare stocks based on fundamental data.
    To view YCharts on StockTwits go to any ticker page, such [...]

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  • StockTwits Stock Camp Hosted by The CME Group Coming June 2 in Chicago

    Posted by admin on May 17th, 2010

    StockTwits Stock Camp is coming to Chicago on June 2 (from 3-5pm CT) and will be hosted by The CME Group.
    We are LOVING this as we are assembling a large group of our sharpest traders across asset classes including Equities and the E-Mini Futures, Commodities and Forex.
    StockTwits will present three panels focusing specifically on the [...]

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